Friday, July 10, 2009

Why do Climate Change strategy/planning?

Answer number 1:assuming governments address rapid climate change.

As the change progresses it will have a significant impact on all sectors, governments, and eventually, all people. Governments will take steps to mitigate (slow the progression). This will result in lifestyle changes, and in business new risks and opportunities. Governments will also take measures to assist their citizens and businesses in adaptation to the changes that will take place no matter how serious the mitigation efforts are.

Also, if you are looking for grants or working with large investors doing risk analysis, they are looking for this.


Answer number 2:assuming governments do not address rapid climate change, or do not do so in a scientifically based manner.

Adaptation will still be necessary. Absent rigorous mitigation, it will in the later part of the century be even more crucial.
If governments do not address mitigation, large investors doing risk assessment will still be looking for this.

Answer number 3: I do not believe rapid climate change is happening/I do not believe we are causing the change/People I work with do not react will to the phrases “climate change” or “Global warming”/etc

If you are looking for grants or large investors doing risk analysis, it is wise to appear your world view is science based, even if it is not :)

Energy planning.

The current dominate energy sources “fossil fuels” are finite (only renewable over geologic time scales). Anything finite, runs out. As scarcity (or scarcity is perceived) develops, prices rise, and conflict increases. Since fossil fuel use results in release of carbon to the atmosphere (no one argues about THAT), Using “climate change” tools ( see bibliography at http://www3.uwsuper.edu/sustainability/Rapid_Climate_Change_Energy_Strategy.htm )
Allows you to measure the “thing in itself”, not a secondary thing, like price or cost. This provides better data/tracking & tighter outcomes. Cost/price of energy is subject to many more variables.
Besides, (for those that do accept science) as many economists now say, the current rapid climate change is the biggest “market failure” (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_failure ) in history. Why use the analytic methods that contributed to the problem in the first place, when you can measure/plan etc. with the thing in itself? Use the tools, and call it something else more palatable.
Oh, yeah, security.
For those concerned about U.S. security, or think militarily.
Dependence on fossil fuels means a long supply line for our economy. Those who break their addiction will have more choices, ie. The ability to maneuver. Dependency on a distant energy source makes you reactive and defensive in strategy, handing initiative to those who are not dependent, giving them the ability to maneuver. In doing this you surrender options, tempo, and direction to an enemy.


Answer Number 3: What about Clean Coal?

A really neat marketing phrase, and marketing campaign Created by the Center for Energy and Economic Development (CEED) in 2000.

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

While we are at it---EPA--local government best practices

http://www.epa.gov/cleanenergy/energy-programs/state-and-local/local-best-practices.html

and their resource database on clean energy, for local governments:
http://www.epa.gov/cleanenergy/energy-programs/state-and-local/local-best-practices.html

Local Action Plans:
http://yosemite.epa.gov/gw/StatePolicyActions.nsf/matrices/local

The Institute for Local Government

A California-centric resource site on local governments & climate change & best practices. But since at the time of this posting California has the toughest cc law on the planet, perhaps worth a look-see:
http://www.cacities.org/index.jsp?displaytype=&section=climate&zone=ilsg&sub_sec=climate_local

‘Unscientific America’: A Review

The folks at RealClimate have posted a Review of:
Unscientific America: How Scientific Illiteracy Threatens our Future by Chris Mooney & Sheril Kirshenbaum (2009)
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/07/unscientific-america-a-review/

The book apparently examines the problem of science literacy and also the so-called "two cultures" problem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Two_Cultures

Science literacy is important in many ways. One way that we seldom think of is in regard to the citizen's role in governance. We should not forget, that the famous founders of this country were either "natural philosophers" (scientists), or at least "citizen scientists". The entire Enlightenment concept of governance of a republic is directly tied to the use of science in decision making, and rationale/reason based decision making....

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Regional climate Impact Resources

The Green Bay Workgroup page, of WICCI:
http://wicci.wisc.edu/workinggroups/greenbay/index.htm

Their "Ecosystem Risk Assessment of the Bay of Green Bay with an Evaluation of Climate Change Impacts." http://wicci.wisc.edu/workinggroups/greenbay/wicci_gbay_risk_assessment.pdf

Also, re Wisconsin: Changes in Wisconsin’s Weather Extremes, Steve Vavrus Center for Climatic Research (CCR) UW-Madison
http://wicci.wisc.edu/resources/WICCI%20Bracing%20for%20Impact.Vavrus.pdf

Climate Resilient Communities

Adapting to Climate Change: Planning a Climate Resilient Community Mikaela Engert
City Planner Keene, New Hampshire. 2007. A city of just under 23,000.

http://www.ci.keene.nh.us/sites/default/files/Keene%20Report_ICLEI_FINAL_v2.pdf

The city's local action plan:
http://www.ci.keene.nh.us/sites/default/files/Local%20Action.pdf

The ICLEI program:
http://www.icleiusa.org/action-center/planning/adaptation-fact-sheet.pdf

The city's sustainability team website:
http://www.ci.keene.nh.us/sustainability

Thursday, July 02, 2009

Some of the bill provisions of interest to educators...

Quoting from Congressional Research Service Summary:

"Sets forth provisions concerning green jobs and worker transition, including: (1) authorizing the Secretary of Education to award grants to eligible partnerships to develop programs of study focused on emerging careers and jobs in renewable energy, energy efficiency, and climate change mitigation; and (2) providing climate change adjustment assistance to adversely affected workers.

Requires: ...(3) the President to establish within the United States Global Change Research Program a National Climate Change Adaptation Program; (4) the Secretary of Commerce to establish within the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) a National Climate Service; (5) the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) to publish a strategic action plan to assist health professionals in preparing for and responding to the impacts of climate change; (6) the President to develop a Natural Resources Climate Change Adaptation Strategy..."

and as you may have heard, cap & trade regulation appears to be via the Department of Agriculture, not EPA.

THOMAS page on the House Bill

Here is the THOMAS page on the bill:

http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/D?d111:1:./temp/~bd2czi:@@@L&summ2=m&/bss/111search.html

NY Times on the Climate & Energy Bill Horse trading

Serious bill or Titanic Deck Chair Rearrangement Act of 2009?
I do not know myself, have not read the puppy.....yet

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/01/us/politics/01climate.html?_r=1&nl=pol&emc=pola1

Saturday, June 27, 2009

American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009

House version of the bill, passed by House last night:
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c111:H.R.2454:

Thursday, June 25, 2009

What is the bill, for, ah, the bill?

The Congressional Budget Office estimates a $175 average cost per household in 2020 for the the current Climate/Energy bill's cap & trade provisions.

The Estimated Costs to Households From the
Cap-and-Trade Provisions of H.R. 2454
http://energycommerce.house.gov/Press_111/20090620/cbowaxmanmarkey.pdf

The CBO calculations are, as pointed out in the document cost only estimates. It does not address tax revenue from related new business activity, nor the potential savings to tax payers taking some action now, as opposed to later.

Do you subscribe to Climatebiz?

Climatebiz is a leading online "magazine" on the growing "climate management" business (AKA energy management business). Subscriptions are free. Being a trade publication, they also cover releases of new software for LCA, industrial ecology, etc.

Recommended: If ya in business, or work with businesses

http://www.climatebiz.com/

Climatebiz Article on Climate Change & Human Rights

Regarding the nexus between adaptation and mitigation in the corporate world, and human rights.

http://www.climatebiz.com/blog/2009/06/25/nexus-climate-change-human-rights

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Whew!

Going on even as i type,

http://www.virtualenergyforum.com/

Thanks Andrew!

Bottom Line

From page 37 of the Synthesis report (see previous post):

"Scientific information, technologies and economic instruments are all
part of the solution, but their interpretation and application are mediated
through the cultures and worldviews of individuals and communities.
Religious and spiritual beliefs, indigenous knowledge
systems, understandings of nature-society relationships, values and
ethics influence how individuals and communities perceive and respond
to climate change. Ultimately these human dimensions of
climate change will determine whether humanity eventually achieves
the great transformation that is in sight at the beginning of the 21st
century or whether humanity ends the century with a “miserable
existence in a +5 degree C world”.

Approaching the 2 degree C guard rail

the Synthesis Report of the Copenhagen Congress has been published.
http://www.pik-potsdam.de/news/press-releases/files/synthesis-report-web.pdf

39 pages. Yes, you have time to read it.

Commentary:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/06/a-warning-from-copenhagen/#more-690