One to keep an eye on...
"If you've got a systematic underestimate of what the greenhouse gas-driven change would be, then you're systematically underestimating what's going to happen in the future when greenhouse gases are by far the dominant climate driver,”
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20151218/
The Paper:
http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2888.html
Post and discussion (including one of the paper's authors), on RealClimate about the subject:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2016/01/marvel-et-al-2015-part-1-reconciling-estimates-of-climate-sensitivity/#ITEM-18951-0
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