Certainty vs. Uncertainty

Thanks to CLN colleagues for these links:

Certainty vs. Uncertainty

Understanding Scientific Terms About Climate Change
http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/certainty-vs-uncertainty.html

IPCC and Uncertainity:
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch1s1-6.html

CLEAN resources re Modeling
http://cleanet.org/clean/educational_resources/index.html?search_text=modeling&Search=search

And thanks to Rachel Connolly Director of Education, NOVA WGBH, Boston
Scientific Processes:
http://www.teachersdomain.org/resource/drey07.sci.phys.matter.scprocess/

The Process of Scientific Experimentation: http://www.teachersdomain.org/resource/pj07.sci.life.gen.lpmethod/

Climate Change (video): http://www.teachersdomain.org/resource/ess05.sci.ess.watcyc.climatechange/

Observations of Climate Change: http://www.teachersdomain.org/resource/ipy07.sci.ess.watcyc.saobclimate/

Global Climate Change Lesson Plan: http://www.teachersdomain.org/resource/ess05.sci.ess.watcyc.lp_global1/



From  Cathryn A. Manduca, Carleton College:
a few resources on uncertainty from the SERC site:



an activity on hurricane intensity and uncertainty: http://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/hurricanes/activities/28276.html


And an associated short discussion thread on teaching uncertainty to intro non-sceince majors: http://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/hurricanes08/discuss/teaching_uncertainty_intronon-science_ma.html


a module on measurement and uncertainty -- its from a physics point of view and isn't as broad as the uncertainty you are talking about but is very good I think and very popular on our site:http://serc.carleton.edu/sp/compadre/uncertainty/index.html


a blog post on uncertainty in the geosciences: http://serc.carleton.edu/earthandmind/posts/geologists_comf.html




An example of the dilemma in teaching global warming and uncertainty -- this has a discussion thread that would certainly benefit from input from this group! http://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/affective/dilemmas/16699.html


And another module about teaching uncertainty in the geosciences: http://serc.carleton.edu/quantskills/teaching_methods/und_uncertainty/index.html  
Bob MacKay - an atmospheric scientist who is one of the authors on this module also wrote the modules on modelling which talk some about uncertainty in modelling: http://serc.carleton.edu/introgeo/models/WhatIsAModel.html