Monday, October 28, 2013

Low Emission Scenarios are Not Conservative, Not Prudent

It is amusing how people use low to moderate emission models when trying to gauge future impacts of rapid climate change, or adaptation strategies. They are based on something never yet observed; human efforts globally on mitigation. I suggest being conservative, or better, being prudent. Base your planning and strategies of high emission scenarios. They actually are based on past and current, observable human behavior. That is no global effort on mitigation.

 

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