Wednesday, March 16, 2016

For all the Paleoclimatology Fans Out There


Ruddiman, W. F., et al. (2016), Late Holocene climate: Natural or anthropogenic?Rev. Geophys.54, doi:10.1002/2015RG000503.

"Abstract
For more than a decade, scientists have argued about the warmth of the current interglaciation. Was the warmth of the preindustrial late Holocene natural in origin, the result of orbital changes that had not yet driven the system into a new glacial state? Or was it in considerable degree the result of humans intervening in the climate system through greenhouse gas emissions from early agriculture? Here we summarize new evidence that moves this debate forward by testing both hypotheses. By comparing late Holocene responses to those that occurred during previous interglaciations (in section 2), we assess whether the late Holocene responses look different (and thus anthropogenic) or similar (and thus natural). This comparison reveals anomalous (anthropogenic) signals. In section 3, we review paleoecological and archaeological syntheses that provide ground truth evidence on early anthropogenic releases of greenhouse gases. The available data document large early anthropogenic emissions consistent with the anthropogenic ice core anomalies, but more information is needed to constrain their size. A final section compares natural and anthropogenic interpretations of the δ13C trend in ice core CO2."

"For over a decade, paleoclimate scientists have argued whether the warmth of the last several thousand years was natural or anthropogenic. This brief comment updates that debate, ..."


2 comments:

Unknown said...

Looks really interesting and I'd love to read the whole thing but is it open access? I don't have institutional access at present and am "stuck" in the wilds of Provence in spring (don't pity me, you're wasting your energy!)...

Unknown said...
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